Movement price

【November 3rd #AstralX Cryptocurrency Market Information and Data Analysis】 1. HSBC: The #USD may hit bottom in early 2026, with Federal Reserve officials' speeches this week in focus; 2. Peter Schiff: #Bitcoin has fallen below the January high this year, while #Nasdaq and #Gold have risen 18% and 42% respectively from their January highs; 3. Bitcoin's monthly line has declined, breaking a seven-year record of October increases; 4. This week, tokens such as #ENA, #MEME, and #MOVE will see significant unlocks. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points again last week, and several officials hinted that there is still room for rate cuts in 2025, increasing market sensitivity to the dollar. This week, speeches from several Federal Reserve officials are seen as guidance for December's policy direction, especially as Cook and Bowman emphasized that inflation and employment data will determine the pace of rate cuts. Meanwhile, the ISM Manufacturing Index and ADP Employment Report are considered key variables for the short-term dollar trend, with expectations that these two data points will further influence the volatility of the dollar index this week. In this macro context, the Nasdaq index has accumulated an increase of about 18% since the beginning of the year, and gold has also shown a significant upward trend, indicating that risk assets are supported by capital inflows when the dollar weakens. The price of Bitcoin has fallen below the January 2025 high, currently down about 10% from this year's peak. In October, Bitcoin's monthly line saw a decline of over 5%, marking the first similar seasonal drop since 2018. In an environment where risk assets are generally benefiting, BTC's pullback is particularly prominent, indicating that it is still influenced by the dollar's trend, macro liquidity, and market sentiment. If the dollar continues to be boosted by rate cut expectations, Bitcoin is expected to face downward pressure in the short term; however, if macro liquidity loosens and safe-haven demand rises, the strength of traditional safe-haven assets like gold may also provide indirect support for Bitcoin.

$MOVE ⚠️👀 Guys, Don't miss the next move in a few hours.. 📊➡️

$MOVE lowest since 2021 — rates market is anaesthetized; options pricing says tail risk is cheap. With US job-postings down ~60% from 2022, a soft labor print could yank yields lower fast. I’m buying short-dated $TLT call spreads (plus 5y receiver risk) — flip to seller if $MOVE spikes or OIS/front-end reprices. 🧵