➥ Multi-Faceted Layer of Prediction Markets Many believe prediction markets are merely a fad, a fleeting trend, or an evolution of meme-driven hyper-gambling. But what if they are actually more extensive and nuanced than they appear? Today, let's discuss the prediction markets (PMs) layer and how to best position yourself within it. Let's dive in 🧵 ... ► PMs Speedrun PMs are specialized trading platforms where participants buy and sell contracts based on the outcomes of future events. Their popularity can be attributed to several factors: ❶ Simplicity ❷ High payouts ❸ Hedged risks ❹ Greater accuracy due to crowd-sourced forecasting Recently, PMs have become a prominent narrative, capturing a significant 13.1% mindshare, according to @_dexuai data. Partial data for 2025 indicates that the global volume of PMs has already reached $7.5 billion, with a projected seismic shift of 24-28% year-over-year growth in user adoption and liquidity for decentralized PMs. So the potential upside here is massive. But let's take a look at the landscape. ... ► PMs Categories and Layer There are 90+ PMs protocol out there but they are mainly divided into categories based on several factors: ❶ Platforms Platforms serve as the essential infrastructure for creating, trading, and settling prediction contracts. Certain niche markets may concentrate on specific event types or communities, enabling customized predictions that enhance engagement and liquidity in less-served areas. Sub-market categories within Platforms comprise opinion, flash, trends, social, sports, and news/events. Examples include: ✧ @Kalshi ✧ @Polymarket ✧ @ManifoldMarkets ✧ @triadfi ✧ @trylimitless ✧ @meleemarkets ✧ @theclearingco ✧ @footballdotfun ✧ @noise_xyz ✧ @Overtime_io ✧ @narrativexyz ✧ @MyriadMarkets ✧ @Hookt_app ✧ @Levr_Bet ✧ @xodotmarket ✧ @trepa_io ✧ @opinionsdotfun ✧ @vibesdotfun ✧ @BRKTgg ✧ @multiplierfun ✧ @Novig ✧ @polldotfun ✧ @hypiq_fi ✧ @ventuals_ ✧ @offmarketfun ✧ @MonacoProtocol ✧ @tweemdotlol ✧ @SX_Bet ✧ @vortx_hl ✧ @BuzzingApp ✧ @futuurHQ ✧ @kizzymobile ✧ @signalswtf ✧ @upshot_cards . ❷ Resolver mechanism Resolver mechanisms determine the outcome of events, ensuring fair settlement of contracts through verification and dispute resolution. The mechanisms are mostly used: - Oracle-based - Decentralized voting/ community - Centralized source - Hybrid on-chain and off-chain Untapped potential exists in AI-enhanced resolvers for faster, more accurate outcomes Examples include: ✧ @UMAprotocol ✧ @chainlink ✧ @Playinfgames ✧ @AugurProject ✧ @MetaDAOProject ✧ @_futarchy ✧ @Kleros_io ✧ Customized oracle for each Platforms . .... (cont'd below)